{"id":536,"date":"2021-02-28T20:55:45","date_gmt":"2021-02-28T12:55:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/3.68.57.190\/?p=536"},"modified":"2025-09-29T17:28:26","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T09:28:26","slug":"disney-stock-neutral-options","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/blog\/disney-stock-neutral-options\/","title":{"rendered":"Want to Trade Disney Stock? Profit Without Blind Guesses"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Do you know the price movement of DIS can be predicted?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We'll show you how to predict the range of price fluctuations and profit 40% a month from options.<\/p>\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Invest in Disney Stocks?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\"><a href=\"https:\/\/disney.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Disney<\/a> reminds us of unique theme parks loaded with famous cartoon characters such as Mickey Mouse, Donald Duck, Goofy from the past, to the more recent Elsa and Anna from the Frozen franchise, and Woody and Buzz Lightyear from Pixar's Toy Story. Disney is full of priceless characters and is a leader in merchandising cartoon copyrights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/disney-brands-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Disney&#039;s Creative Resources and Media Outlets\" class=\"wp-image-542\" srcset=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/disney-brands-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/disney-brands-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/disney-brands-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/disney-brands.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Disney is a conglomerate diversified in mass media and content creation. By Michael Gray<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The century-old Walt Disney Company has accumulated a huge porfolio of mass media, content creation and distribution channels over the years, and has recently diversified into online streaming with Disney+ to compete head on with Netflix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">The reputation of Disney allowed DIS to be included in <a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/watchlist\/spy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S&amp;P 500 index<\/a> since 1976.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fair Value of Disney Shares<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">The quickest way to determine the fair value of DIS stock is to reference data from <a href=\"https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/companies\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trefis<\/a>. This is accessible in TD Ameritrade in the Analyse tab and Fundamentals. Scroll to the bottom of the page to look at Trefis estimate for the true value of Disney stock.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/trefis\u4f30\u8a08\u7684\u8fea\u58eb\u5c3c\u50f9\u503c-1024x576.png\" alt=\"trefis estimated value of Disney\" class=\"wp-image-549\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" data-srcset=\"\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Trefis estimates Disney's stock to be worth $180 per share, which is similar to the current market price.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trefis calculates Disney's valuation through the following metrics:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Media distribution channels such as Disney Channel and American Broadcasting Company<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Direct to consumer online streaming channels such as Disney+ and ESPN+<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Disney theme parks, hotels and merchandise<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Disney Studios<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trefis estimates Disney's fair value to be $180, which is similar to the current market price. So we expect the stock price to remain neutral in the near future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/pricing\/?utm_source=blog&amp;utm_medium=banner\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"971\" height=\"120\" src=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/slashtraders-trial-banner.png\" alt=\"slashtraders trial banner\" class=\"wp-image-7387\" srcset=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/slashtraders-trial-banner.png 971w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/slashtraders-trial-banner-300x37.png 300w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/slashtraders-trial-banner-768x95.png 768w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/slashtraders-trial-banner-18x2.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 971px) 100vw, 971px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to Predict Disney Stock's Price Moves<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Once we learn how to predict the price movement of a stock, we can profit from trading options to the fluctuations. We can use TD Ameritrade's TTM Squeeze analysis tool, to compare the recent price changes with historical data:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Blue bar indicates strong upward momentum<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dark blue indicates weak upward momentum<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Red bar indicates strong downward momentum<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Yellow bar indicates weak downward momentum<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-1024x576.png\" alt=\"ttm squeeze tracks DIS stock movement\" class=\"wp-image-2077\" srcset=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-16x9.png 16w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze.png 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">TTM Squeeze tracks the price movement of DIS, where different colours indicate both strength and direction.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">Since TTM Squeeze indicates a blue bar right now, we expect fluctuations in Disney stock price to dampen, and expect <a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/blog\/market-volatility-hv-iv\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Implied Volatility (IV)<\/a> to contract soon.<\/p>\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-iv-changes-1024x576.png\" alt=\"ttm squeeze indicates iv changes\" class=\"wp-image-2088\" srcset=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-iv-changes-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-iv-changes-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-iv-changes-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-iv-changes-16x9.png 16w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/ttm-squeeze-iv-changes.png 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sell options during high IV, and buy options during low IV.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">So we can sell options immediately, and then close the trade in the future when <a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/blog\/options-value\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">options prices drop<\/a> due to IV contraction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">43% Return in a Month From Trading Options<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">Since we believe DIS will stay quite stable in the near future, we can sell an Iron Condor, <a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/tools\/options-scanner\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">based on the Options Scanner<\/a>, to define a range of profitability:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"translation-block\">We sell a $170 Put and a $195 <a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/blog\/sell-covered-call\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Call<\/a> to define the profit range<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Then buy a further $165 Put and a $200 Call to cap the maximum loss<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/iron-condor-order-1024x576.png\" alt=\"iron condor order\" class=\"wp-image-2092\" srcset=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/iron-condor-order-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/iron-condor-order-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/iron-condor-order-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/iron-condor-order-16x9.png 16w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/iron-condor-order.png 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sell an Iron Condor with a defined risk profile.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">After visiting the DIS Trade tab in <a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/blog\/td-ameritrade-review\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TD Ameritrade<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Browse to options that expire next month<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Right-click to SELL Iron Condor at $170<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/\u8ce3iron-condor-1-1024x576.png\" alt=\"tsla iron condor\" class=\"wp-image-568\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" data-srcset=\"\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Go to Trade tab of DIS and right-click SELL Iron Condor.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Adjust Qty to 1<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>SELL 195 Call<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>BUY 200 Call<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/DIS\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u4ea4\u6613-1-1024x576.png\" alt=\"DIS Option Trading\" class=\"wp-image-2096\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" data-srcset=\"\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Adjust the Iron Condor settings.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then we can right-click Analyse this trade.<\/p>\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/max-profit-and-loss-1-1024x576.png\" alt=\"max profit and loss of iron condor\" class=\"wp-image-2101\" srcset=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/max-profit-and-loss-1-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/max-profit-and-loss-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/max-profit-and-loss-1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/max-profit-and-loss-1-16x9.png 16w, https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/max-profit-and-loss-1.png 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">We analyse the Risk Profile of the Iron Condor to find the max profit and max loss of the trade.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This trade has 55% chance of profit, and uses $347 Buying Power for a maximum profit of $153. So the maximum Return on Capital is 43%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">If the stock price does not exceed our short options after a month, all 4 <a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/blog\/what-are-options\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">options<\/a> will expire worthless, and we will collect $153 premium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If we compare trading stocks with trading Iron Condors, we can see trading stocks only has 50% Probability of Profit, while it also requires a big move in the underlying to have a big return.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table id=\"tablepress-4\" class=\"tablepress tablepress-id-4\">\n<thead>\n<tr class=\"row-1\">\n\t<th class=\"column-1\">Strategies<\/th><th class=\"column-2\">Market direction<\/th><th class=\"column-3\">Probability of profit<\/th><th class=\"column-4\">Maximum return<\/th><th class=\"column-5\">Minimum investment<br \/>\n(buying power)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"row-striping row-hover\">\n<tr class=\"row-2\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Stocks<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Upward<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">50%<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">Return correlates to size of move<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">$183<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-3\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Sell Iron Condor<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">No matter rise or fall<br \/>\n(Price stays within range of short options)<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">55%<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">43%<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">$347<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<!-- #tablepress-4 from cache -->\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">If we <a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/blog\/best-iron-condor-options\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trade Iron Condor options<\/a>, we can profit no matter the stock price goes up or down. As long as the underlying price stays within the profitable range, we can make a maximum profit of 40%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">If an Iron Condor goes wrong, we can <a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/blog\/iron-condor-adjustment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">roll up or down to repair the Iron Condor<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-ast-global-color-4-background-color has-background wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/blog\/slashtraders-vs-sp500\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SlashTraders vs S&amp;P 500: 450% Outperformance, Verified Trades and How to Copy Every Alert<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Do you know the price movement of DIS can be predicted? We'll show you how to predict the range of price fluctuations and profit 40% a month from options.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2108,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"plain-container","ast-site-content-layout":"normal-width-container","site-content-style":"unboxed","site-sidebar-style":"unboxed","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":"","_wp_rev_ctl_limit":"5"},"categories":[3],"tags":[56,20,12,64,14,11],"class_list":["post-536","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","tag-cn","tag-dis","tag-en","tag-es","tag-options","tag-tw"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=536"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13908,"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536\/revisions\/13908"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2108"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/slashtraders.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}